The Standard Poll (April 27-May1, 2016): Presidential Race
Duterte posted a clear lead in The Standard’s final pre-election poll
The Standard Poll Apr27_May1_2016 Presidential Race
Duterte on top
Final poll shows mayor with clear lead over rivals
http://thestandard.com.ph/news/headlines/204916/duterte-on-top.html
The March 2016 Standard Poll: The Presidential Race
Duterte biggest gainer in latest Standard poll
DAVAO City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte was the biggest gainer among the candidates seeking the presidency in next month’s elections while Vice President Jejomar Binay suffered his steepest rating drop since the start of the campaign period, the March 26 to April 1 The Standard Poll showed.
Duterte, who got 30 percent, was statistically tied with Senator Grace Poe with 27 percent given the survey’s national error margin of +/- 1.8 percent.
Liberal Party standard bearer Manuel Roxas II came in third at 21 percent, overtaking Binay who dropped five percentage points to 18 percent. Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago was at the fifth place with 2 percent.
Duterte has surged in the latest The Standard Poll, with at least 30 percent of the respondents saying they will vote for him if the elections were held today.
The survey, which covered 79 provinces and 40 highly urbanized cities— including 17 cities in the National Capital Region, had 3,000 respondents, all of whom are registered voters who said they are sure to vote in the May 9 polls.
“Duterte has the momentum at this time compared to other presidential candidates. There is consolidation of support for Duterte in Mindanao. In bailiwicks of other candidates like in Central Visayas, Eastern Visayas and NCR, he also posted significant increases,” said Junie Laylo, resident pollster of The Standard.
Duterte’s rating went up across all major geographic groupings—up 7 percentage points in the National Capital Region (30 percent), 7 pecentage points in North and Central Luzon (18 percent), 5 percentage points in South Luzon and Bicol (19 percent), 8 percentage points in the Visayas (31 percent), and 4 percentage points in Mindanao (53 percent).
In contrast, except in Mindanao where his rating remained flat at 11 percent, Binay’s numbers went down 5 percentage points in NCR (23 percent), 5 percentage points in North and Central Luzon (28 percent), 9 percentage points in South Luzon and Bicol (18 percent), and 4 percentage points in the Visayas (13 percent).
Duterte was the top choice of respondents from both urban (33 percent) and rural (28 percent) areas. Across economic classes, a plurality of respondents from Classes ABC and D said they will vote for the Davao City mayor at 37 percent and 30 percent, respectively. Duterte and Poe were tied at the top spot with 29 percent each for respondents belonging to Class E.
Laylo also attributed Duterte’s steady increase to the respondents’s choice on who can solve the country’s most important problems among the five presidential candidates.
Respondents identified the country’s top problems as follows: poverty (26 percent), illegal drugs (21 percent), corruption (20 percent), unemployment (11 percent) and criminality (8 percent).
A plurality of respondents said Duterte can solve the problem of illegal drugs (37 percent), corruption (35 percent) and criminality (36 percent) while Poe can solve poverty (34 percent) and unemployment (30 percent).
At least 36 percent of the respondents also said that Duterte performed best during the second presidential debate in Cebu, followed by Poe (32 percent), Roxas (17 percent) and Binay (10 percent).
However, 38 percent of the voters said it was Poe who showed the best character as a would-be-president among the candidates who participated in the debate.
The camp of Duterte welcomed the survey result, saying it was reflective of the groundswell of support for the mayor.
“We have seen our numbers getting even bigger, validating what we are seeing on the ground. That Rody is on top means the people are on top. However, that Rody is on top exposes him to attacks. We believe that his popularity now is the reason why the Aquino administration has unleashed a string of attacks against Duterte, hoping that they can prevent his surge,” said Bohol Mayor Leoncio Evasco, Duterte’s national campaign manager.
“That he is the presidential candidate to beat is becoming clearer and clearer for his rivals now, a truth courtesy of the Filipino people whose overwhelming show of love for Rody is enough to drown even the most finely orchestrated of attacks. Slowly, we are are getting closer to our goal of ensuring victory not only for Rodrigo Duterte but for the Filipino people who are desperate for change, desperate to end criminality, poverty and corruption that hounded the nation so long now,” he added.
Binay’s camp downplayed the decline in the vice president’s ratings, saying the real survey would be on May 9.
“We thank the people for their continued trust and confidence in the vice president despite the irresponsible and malicious misinformation campaign being perpetrated by his political opponents and some media outfits,” UNA spokesperson Mon Ilagan said.
Roxas echoed the position of Binay: “It is the elections in May that is the most important survey. From what we can see, the race remains tight. And I am confident that I will win come election day.”
Poe’s camp said the senator will continue to harness the data drawn from The Standard Poll to calibrate their next move.
“The information from this poll, we will use to fine tune our next steps,” said Poe’s spokesman, Valenzuela City Mayor Rex Gatchalian.
Duterte surges in March 2016 Standard Poll
The latest on the Standard Poll on voter preferences in the May 2016 national elections…
http://thestandard.com.ph/…/the-standard-poll-latest-result…
February 2016 PH Standard Poll on the presidential race
Post debate poll shows a very tight presidential race.
http://thestandard.com.ph/…/he…/201088/closer-than-ever.html
Voters: Poverty is biggest issue, January 2016 PH Standard Poll
POVERTY is the most pressing problem today, the latest The Standard Poll conducted by this newspaper’s resident pollster Junie Laylo shows.
In the survey conducted between Jan. 27 and Feb. 4, 23 percent of respondents nationwide rated poverty as the top concern, followed by corruption (20 percent), drug addiction or illegal drugs (14 percent), unemployment or lack of jobs (12 percent) and high prices of goods and services (9 percent).
Poverty was also the second most-cited reason for the nation’s being on the wrong track (16 percent), next to government corruption (25 percent).
http://thestandard.com.ph/…/voters-poverty-is-biggest-issue…
Poe dominates positive attributes, January 2016 PH Standard PH Poll
The January 2016 PH Standard Poll: Filipino voters continue to be image-driven and not yet issue-based in vote choices as reflected in this poll. Will it change as the campaign progresses? We will see in the next Standard polls…
http://thestandard.com.ph/news/headlines/199038/poll-voters-see-poe-s-positives-.html
January 2016 PH Standard Poll on the senatorial race
Name recognition and heavy ad placements of senatorial candidates help secure top 12 positions, in this survey round.
Marcos closes in on Escudero, January 2016 Standard Poll
The January 2016 PH Standard Poll on the vice presidential race…
http://thestandard.com.ph/…/marcos-closes-in-on-escudero.ht…
Poe Keeps Lead, January 2016 Standard Poll
Corruption biggest problem, Pinoys say
posted December 26, 2015 at 12:01 am by and Francis Lagniton
DESPITE almost six years of the Aquino administration’s “Straight Path,” Filipinos consider corruption as the most important problem of the country, the latest The Standard Poll shows.
http://thestandard.com.ph/news/headlines/195307/corruption-biggest-problem-pinoys-say.html
THE STANDARD PH POLL, DECEMBER 2015: METHODOLOGY
Details on survey methodology employed for The Standard PH Poll conducted December 4-12, 2015
Metro Manilans dissatisfied with traffic
posted December 25, 2015 at 12:01 am by Adelle Chua
EIGHTY-nine percent of Metro Manila residents are either somewhat or very dissatisfied with the traffic situation and 54 percent believe it could still get worse, according to The Standard Poll conducted by this newspaper’s resident pollster, Junie Laylo.
Metro Manilans dissatisfied with traffic 122515
Chiz keeps big lead
December 22, 2015 at 12:01 am by Joyce Pangco Panares
But rivals Marcos, Cayetano, Robredo, Honasan moving up
SENATOR Francis Escudero retained a wide lead over other vice presidential candidates for the 2016 polls even as other contenders, except for Senator Antonio Trillanes IV, saw their ratings go up in the latest The Standard Poll.
http://thestandard.com.ph/news/-main-stories/top-stories/195020/chiz-keeps-big-lead.html
Poe still ahead in tighter race
DESPITE two decisions disqualifying her from the 2016 presidential polls, Senator Grace Poe posted a slim lead over other candidates as the race for the highest post in the land became tighter, the latest The Standard Poll showed.
http://thestandard.com.ph/news/headlines/194926/poe-still-ahead-in-tighter-race.html
On Annulment, Divorce, Same-Sex Marriage and Birth Control: The Standard PH Poll September 21 to October 1, 2015
Pinoys split on Francis’ bid to ease annulment
By Adelle Chua
Filipinos are split on Pope Francis’ statement that annulment processes has to be relaxed, even as more people say they disagree with passing a divorce law in the country, according to the latest The Standard Poll conducted between Sept. 21 and Oct. 1 by The Standard’s resident pollster, Junie Laylo.
Of the 1,500 respondents in 76 provinces interviewed, 50 percent agreed and 50 percent disagreed with the Vatican rule issued in September in response to complaints that the church annulment process is too lengthy and complicated.
Agreement was strongest at the National Capital Region, with 59 percent agreeing and 41 percent disagreeing.
Mindanao, however, posed the strongest disagreement, with 37 percent of respondents somewhat disagreeing and 26 percent strongly disagreeing.
Sixty-eight percent of all respondents say they disagree with passing a divorce law, with Southern Luzon/ Bicol and the Visayas registering the strongest opposition at 70 percent.
More urban dwellers are amenable to passing such a law, with 38 percent agreeing versus the 29 percent of respondents from rural areas.
Respondents also agree with the strong promotion of birth control even as no distinction was made between natural and artificial family planning methods.
Support was highest in Southern Luzon with 92 percent agreeing, and in Northern Luzon and the Visayas with 84 percent agreeing. Seventy-nine percent of Metro Manila residents also support family planning.
In Mindanao, however, 52 percent of respondents disagree with supporting birth control.
Opinion on passing a law allowing same-sex marriage in the country, however, is universal to respondents across the country with 85 percent either somewhat or strongly disagreeing.
Southern Luzon and Mindanao disagreed most strongly, with 90 percent and 92 percent, respectively. Metro Manila was relatively more tolerant with 20 percent agreeing. Among age groups, 89 percent of the elderly (respondents aged 56 and above) disagreed with the proposal.
Questions on sexual behavior were asked using the sealed-envelope technique, where a respondent is handed a sealed envelope containing the questions. This technique enables respondents to answer what may be deemed intimidating questions and assures them that their answers would remain confidential.
Conservative, still
Some questions in the September survey were also asked in the earlier survey conducted in May, allowing for comparisons between answers for the two time periods. Answers revealed that Filipinos in general held on to their traditional values even as the younger generation is more open to new experiences.
In the September survey, 93 percent of Filipinos had between one and five sexual partners in their lifetime, while 4 percent had six to 10 partners.
And despite the greater support to government’s family planning programs, 43 percent for respondents still believed births should not be controlled. With 28 percent supporting natural family planning and 29 percent artificial family planning.
Laylo, The Standard’s inhouse pollster, has 25 years of experience in political polling and strategic research.
Voting Decisions and the BBL: The Standard Poll September 21- to October 1, 2015
Poll: Voters will junk BBL backers
MOST Filipino voters said they will not choose candidates who support the government’s proposed Bangsamoro Basic Law, results of the second The Standard Poll showed.
The survey, conducted by resident pollster Junie Laylo from Sept. 21 to Oct. 1, had 1,500 respondents, all of whom are registered voters with biometrics from 76 provinces across the country and the 17 cities in the National Capital Region.
At least 64 percent of the respondents said they will “choose a candidate who does not support the BBL” while only 35 percent said they will “choose a candidate who supports the BBL.”
Voters from the Visayas posted the highest percentage of opposition to candidates who will back the measure, with 78 percent saying they will choose politicians who will not support the BBL.
It was only in Mindanao that 54 percent of the respondents said they will choose candidates who will support the BBL.
The survey also showed that 51 percent of Filipino voters want the BBL scrapped while only 16 percent said the measure should be passed without changing any of its provisions. At least 33 percent of the respondents said some provisions of the proposed BBL should be changed.
The original version of the BBL seeks to create a new juridical entity to be called Bangsamoro which will replace thea Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao.
Senator Ferdinand Marcos Jr. has submitted a substitute version of the BBL which amended 80 percent of its provisions, including the expansion of the composition of the Bangsamoro Transition Authority to include the Moro National Liberation Front.
The BTA will serve as the interim government once the BBL is ratified in Congress and through a plebiscite. In the Palace version of the BBL, the Moro Islamic Liberation Front will lead the transition body, with no specific mention of the MNLF.
At the House of Representatives, the ad ho
c committee working on the original version of the BBL struck down 28 items, including provisions on natural resources as well as those in the preamble, prompting MILF chief negotiator Mohagher Iqbal to warn that the move will dilute the BBL and defeat the efforts of the government and the MILF at concluding a peace agreement.
The survey also showed an increase in the demand for the BBL plebiscite to be conducted nationwide at 61 percent, instead of only in the areas covered by the proposed Bangsamoro territory.
In the first The Standard Poll, Filipino voters were still split on the plebiscite issue.
The Standard Poll has error margins of +/- 2.6 percent for the national results and +/- 6 percent for the regional results. All regions were represented in the survey.
Laylo, The Standard’s in-house pollster, has 25 years of experience in political polling and strategic research.
Despite the delay in the passage of the BBL, the Palace said it will be premature to certify the measure as urgent because it is still undergoing interpellation in Congress.
Discussions on the Malacañang-drafted BBL suffered delays after the Jan. 25 Mamasapano tragedy, which resulted in the deaths of 44 police commandos at the hands of MILF members and other private armed groups protecting Malaysian terrorist Zulkifli bin Hir alias Marwan who was also killed during the operation.
President Benigno Aquino III earlier warned that the decades-old conflict in Mindanao will continue if the BBL is not passed.
“If the BBL is not passed, the cycle of conflict will continue, and our sisters and brothers in Mindanao will continue to sink in the quagmire of poverty,” Aquino said.
http://thestandard.com.ph/news/headlines/189479/poll-voters-will-junk-bbl-backers.html
The current state of the vice presidential race: The Standard Poll September 21-October 1, 2015
Escudero holds big VP race lead
By Joyce Pangco Pańares and Sandy Araneta
Escudero holds big VP race lead 101415
SENATOR Francis Escudero is the top choice of voters for vice president in the 2016 polls, results of the second The Standard Poll showed.
The survey, conducted by resident pollster Junie Laylo from Sept. 21 to Oct. 1, had 1,500 respondents, all of whom are registered voters with biometrics from 76 provinces across the country and the 17 cities in the National Capital Region.
Respondents were asked to choose from seven possible candidates—Escudero; Senators Ferdinand Marcos Jr., Alan Cayetano and Antonio Trillanes IV; Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte; Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo; and former Senator Panfilo Lacson.
During the survey period, Marcos had not yet announced his vice presidential bid while Duterte and Lacson had yet to decide on their political plans for 2016.
Senator Gregorio Honasan, the running mate of Vice President Jejomar Binay, was also not included in the survey as there was no indication he was going to run during the survey period.
Escudero got a plurality of 40 percent, followed by Marcos (15 percent), Duterte (15 percent), Cayetano (11 percent), Trillanes (7 percent), Robredo (7 percent), and Lacson (5 percent).
Escudero led the survey across all geographic areas, including the Southern Luzon/Bicol region where he had his highest rating of 46 percent.
In the same area, Marcos had a higher rating of 13 percent than other candidates who hail from the Bicol region, namely Cayetano and Robredo at 11 percent each and Trillanes at 4 percent.
Respondents were also asked who they would vote for if their candidate of choice backs out from the vice presidential race. Most respondents who did not pick Escudero as their first choice said they would vote for Escudero under those conditions.
With Duterte out of the vice presidential race, Escudero will gain five points. Marcos, Cayetano, Trillanes and Robredo will gain two points each while Lacson will see his rating go up by a point.
Escudero, Marcos, Duterte, Trillanes and Robredo will gain a point each with Lacson out of the equation.
Lacson has already declared he will seek reelection as a senator instead.
The Palace on Tuesday welcomed the result of The Standard Poll, saying it showed an increase in the ratings of the Liberal Party standard bearer Manuel Roxas II.
Respondents were asked to choose from eight possible presidential candidates—Poe, Roxas, Binay, Duterte, Manila Mayor Joseph Estrada, Marcos, Senator Miriam Santiago, and former senator Richard Gordon.
Binay slid down to third place with 14 percent, followed by Duterte (10 percent), Estrada (9 percent), Marcos (7 percent), Santiago (6 percent), and Gordon (1 percent).
The Standard Poll has error margins of +/- 2.6 percent for the national results and +/- 6 percent for the regional results. All regions were represented in the survey.
Laylo, The Standard’s in-house pollster, has 25 years of experience in political polling and strategic research.
Roxas placed second with a rating of 19 percent, behind Senator Grace Poe who had a plurality of 32 percent.
“The latest in-house survey of The Standard provides insights on public sentiment towards presidential candidates. This survey indicates the positive effect of the President’s endorsement on the ratings of [former Interior] Secretary Mar Roxas, which rose to 19 percent from eight percent in the previous Standard survey held last May,” Communications Secretary Herminio Coloma said.
http://thestandard.com.ph/news/headlines/189374/escudero-holds-big-vp-race-lead.html
The current state of the presidential race: The Standard Poll September 21-October 1, 2015
Grace by a mile
By | Oct. 13, 2015 at 12:01am
SENATOR Grace Poe posted a wide lead over other possible presidential candidates in the 2016 elections, results of the second The Standard Poll showed.
The survey, conducted by resident pollster Junie Laylo from Sept. 21 to Oct. 1, had 1,500 respondents, all of whom are registered voters with biometrics from 76 provinces across the country and the 17 cities in the National Capital Region.
Respondents were asked to choose from eight possible candidates—Poe, Liberal Party standard bearer Manuel Roxas II, Vice President Jejomar Binay, Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte, Manila Mayor Joseph Estrada, Senators Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Miriam Santiago, and former senator Richard Gordon.
Duterte, Estrada, Marcos, Santiago and Gordon were included in the list because they had not declared their final decision on their 2016 plans during the survey period.
Poe, with a plurality of 32 percent, led the survey across all geographic areas where her ratings ranged from 28 to 35 percent.
Roxas placed second at 19 percent, followed by Binay (14 percent), Duterte (10 percent), Estrada (9 percent), Marcos (7 percent), Santiago (6 percent), and Gordon (1 percent).
Poe also led across all economic classes, genders, and age groups, with ratings ranging from 28 to 32 percent.
By ethnicity, Poe was the top choice among the Tagalogs (29 percent), Cebuanos (35 percent), Ilonggos (36 percent), Ilocanos (30 percent), Bicolanos (40 percent), and Muslim groups (27 percent).
It was only among the Warays that Poe placed second with 19 percent, with Binay taking the lead at 42 percent.
The survey also showed that Poe was the most trusted among the possible presidential bets with a net trust rating of +66, followed by Roxas (+39), Santiago (+38), Duterte (+25), Estrada (+20), Binay (+18), and Gordon (+1).
Respondents were also asked who they would vote for if their candidate of choice backs out from the presidential race. Most respondents who did not pick Poe as their first choice said they would vote for Poe, given that scenario.
In a four-way fight among Poe, Roxas, Binay and Duterte, Poe would even increase her lead to 41 percent, while Binay and Roxas would be tied for second place with 23 percent and 22 percent, respectively.
In a four-way contest, Duterte would be in third place with 13 percent, despite his statements during the survey period that he would not be running for President.
In the first The Standard Poll in May, Poe was at second place, trailing four points behind Binay who got 28 percent.
The Standard Poll has error margins of +/- 2.6 percent for the national results and +/- 6 percent for the regional results. All regions were represented in the survey.
Laylo, The Standard’s in-house pollster, has 25 years of experience in political polling and strategic research.
May 8-18, 2015 The Standard PH Poll: 2 out of 3 Filipinos don’t want divorce law passed By Adelle Chua
Jun. 05, 2015 at 12:01am
http://manilastandardtoday.com/2015/06/05/2-out-of-3-filipinos-don-t-want-divorce-law-passed/
Filipinos are keen on preserving traditional values on sex and marriage even as new trends are emerging among the younger generation, according to The Standard Poll conducted between May 8 and May 18 by this newspaper’s resident pollster, Junie Laylo.
Respondents nationwide disagree with passing a divorce law, with two out three Filipinos either somewhat (17 percent) or strongly (50 percent) disagreeing with the proposed measure.
Even in Metro Manila, 57 percent reject divorce, with 18 percent somewhat disagreeing and 39 percent strongly disagreeing.
Opposition is stronger in rural areas (71 percent) than urban areas (61 percent), and is more pronounced among respondents 56 years old and above, 58 percent of whom strongly disagree and 16 percent somewhat disagree.
Respondents aged between 18 and 34 are less resistant, with 43 percent strongly disagreeing and 19 percent somewhat disagreeing. Those who disagree however still constitute a majority, with only 18 percent strongly agreeing and 20 percent somewhat agreeing with the need for a divorce law here.
Greater agreement to a divorce law is also observed among singles (41 percent), separated (42 percent) or living together (45 percent).
The 33 percent of respondents who say they would support a divorce law want a proper legal solution to their separation (26 percent) and the freedom to be away from each other in case couples do not anymore get along (25 percent). A third reason is the ability to marry a new partner legally (15 percent).
The 67 percent who would reject a divorce measure say the separation would have an adverse effect on children (22 percent) and would destroy the family (16 percent).
The Philippines is the only country in the world that does not have a divorce law,. The Family Code however has provisions for legal separation, annulment and the declaration of nullity of marriages.
Birth control
Meanwhile, Filipinos are nearly evenly split between natural family planning (35 percent), artificial family planning (34 percent) and not controlling birth altogether (31 percent).
Among those who use birth control, respondents nationwide in the 18-34 age group take birth control pills (37 percent), use the rhythm method (19 percent) or use condoms (16 percent). The usage of birth control pills is also more prevalent among those living together (40 percent).
Whatever their preferred method for birth control is, however, Filipinos are supportive of the government’s promotion of such, especially after the passage of the Reproductive Health Law in 2012.
The support is most pronounced among respondents living in urban areas (66 percent net of those who agree less those who disagree) than rural areas (46 percent net), and among the ABC economic class (76 percent net) than classes D (53 percent net) and E (52 percent).
Sexual behavior and preferences
The Standard Poll survey used a sealed-envelope technique for questions on sexual behavior so that respondents would answer intimidating questions, give honest responses and be assured of confidentiality.
According to the survey, Filipinos nationwide get initiated with sex at age 20, with the average for the National Capital Region and Southern Luzon/ Bicol slightly earlier at 19. Nine in ten have their first sexual encounter with the opposite sex.
Monogamy appears to be the norm among Filipinos, with 84 percent of respondents nationwide having just one sexual partner. Eighty-eight percent of female respondents and 81 percent of males had one partner.
Singles and those living together have two sexual partners on average.
In terms of age groups, even the young are predominantly monogamous, with 85 percent of 18-34-year-olds saying they just had one sexual partner. Eighty-six percent of respondents aged 35-55 say the same, but those 56 years old and above get a little less monogamous with 79 percent saying they had one sexual partner, and 9 percent saying they had two.
Ninety-three percent of respondents have between one and five sexual partners in their lifetime, with only 3 percent having between six to 10 partners and another 3 percent having more than 10.
Engagement in sexual activity is at least once a week across all regions and all economic classes.
Meanwhile, less than 10 percent of respondents nationwide have had experience in same-sex intercourse, with the NCR and Visayas figures slightly higher at 11 percent and 12 percent, respectively.
Twelve percent of males and 5 percent reported having had same-sex intercourse. Across age groups, 10 percent of 18-34 year-olds have had such experience, with the number going down to 8 percent for respondents aged 35-55 and 6 percent for those 56 years old and above.
More single and separated Filipinos engaged in same-sex intercourse, at 17 percent and 16 percent, respectively.
Given these, 84 percent of respondents nationwide either somewhat disagree (14 percent) and strongly disagree (70 percent) with passing a law allowing same-sex marriage in the Philippines, with the opposition strongest in Northern and Central Luzon (92 percent).
More residents of rural areas reject same-sex marriage (87 percent) than urban residents (80 percent), as do mature respondents (85 percent) than younger ones (81 percent).
The Standard Poll had error margins of +/- 3 percent for national and +/- 6 percent for regional results.
Laylo, The Standard’s in-house pollster, has 25 years of experience in political polling and strategic research.
[Cited by Rappler: http://www.rappler.com/nation/95386-filipinos-divorce-law-laylo-survey]
May 8-18, 2015 The Standard PH Poll: Binay keeps slim lead over Poe By Joyce Pangco Panares
Jun. 02, 2015 at 12:01am
http://manilastandardtoday.com/2015/06/02/binay-keeps-slim-lead-over-poe/
VICE President Jejomar Binay has posted a slim lead over the other possible presidential candidates in the 2016 elections, the results of the first The Standard Poll showed
The poll, conducted by resident pollster Junie Laylo from May 8 to 18, showed Senator Grace Poe in second place, four percentage points behind Binay’s 28 percent.
Poe led the survey across the geographic areas except in Mindanao, where Binay posted a plurality of 41 percent.
Binay was the top choice of the respondents in the rural areas at 32 percent, while Poe held the lead in the urban areas at 28 percent.
Manila Mayor Joseph Estrada and Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte were tied in third place with 10 percent each.
Senator Miriam Santiago and Interior Secretary Manuel Roxas II—the administration’s presumptive standard bearer—shared the fourth spot at eight percent each.
Senator Francis Escudero was in fifth place at four percent; Senators Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Alan Cayetano were tied in sixth place at three percent each; and former Senator Panfilo Lacson was in seventh place at one percent.
The survey also showed that Binay was the strongest candidate among the very poor: at 27 percent among the Class D and 32 percent among the Class E, while Poe was the top choice among the Class ABC at 27 percent.
Those polled were also most likely to give their vote to Poe if their preferred presidential bet decided to withdraw from the race.
Poe also enjoyed the highest trust rating among the possible contenders at 76 percent followed by Santiago (63 percent), Escudero (59 percent), Cayetano (51 percent), Estrada (51 percent), Binay (50 percent), Roxas (48 percent), Duterte (43 percent) and Lacson (36 percent).
The Liberal Party posted a higher net trust rating of +14 (38 percent “much” trust, 24 percent “little” trust), while the opposition United Nationalist Alliance received +3 (31 percent “much” trust, 28 percent “little” trust).
Among the possible candidates for vice president, Poe led the pack at 23 percent with Escudero at close second at 16 percent.
The other possible vice presidential candidates included Cayetano and Duterte at 11 percent each, Estrada and Lacson at seven percent each, Senator Antonio Trillanes IV (six percent), Batangas Gov. Vilma Santos and Marcos at five percent each, and former senator Francis Pangilinan and Sarangani Rep. Manny Pacquiao at four percent each.
For the possible senatorial candidates, Senator Vicente Sotto III was the top choice of those surveyed at 55 percent, followed by Lacson at 50 percent.
The other politicians who made it to the Top 12 were Senator Ralph Recto and Pangilinan at 42 percent each; former senator Juan Miguel Zubiri at 40 percent; Senate President Franklin Drilon at 39 percent; Marcos at 38 percent; Pacquiao at 34 percent; former senators Dick Gordon and Jamby Madrigal and Senator Sergio Osmeña at 31 percent each; and director Lino Cayetano and Justice Secretary Leila de Lima at 30 percent each.
The poll had a sample size of 1,500 with 300 respondents each from the National Capital Region, North/Central Luzon, South Luzon/Bicol, the Visayas and Mindanao.
The Standard Poll had error margins of +/- 2.6 percent for the national result and +/- 6 percent for the regional results.
All regions were represented in the survey.
Laylo, The Standard’s in-house pollster, has 25 years of experience in political polling and strategic research.
[Cited by Rappler: http://www.rappler.com/nation/politics/elections/2016/95032-binay-mindanao-laylo-survey]
May 8-18, 2015 The Standard PH Poll: Most Filipinos, Mindanao folk don’t want BBL By Joyce Pangco Panares
Jun. 01, 2015 at 12:01am
http://manilastandardtoday.com/2015/06/01/most-filipinos-mindanao-folk-don-t-want-bbl/
MAJORITY of Filipinos reject the proposed Bangsamoro Basic Law and they include those who live in Mindanao and are supposed to be its beneficiaries, the results of the first Standard Poll showed.
The poll, conducted by resident pollster Junie Laylo from May 8 to 18, also found that 63 percent of the Filipinos surveyed do not believe the Moro Islamic Liberation Front truly represents the Bangsamoro people.
At least 54 percent of the respondents said they disagreed with passing the BBL while 44 percent said they would still disagree with the measure even if it was amended to correct its unconstitutional provisions.
Even the respondents from Mindanao, who are supposed to benefit directly from the Palace-backed measure, were against it, with 52 percent saying they did not want it passed.
Once enacted, the BBL will pave the way for the implementation of the peace agreement between the government and the MILF, abolishing the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao and establishing another political entity to be called the Bangsamoro.
Malacañang has pinned its hopes on the passage of the BBL by June 11 or before Congress adjourns. But this early 12 senators have already submitted a committee report saying the only way the draft measure could withstand legal scrutiny before the Supreme Court was to revise it.
The survey also showed that 60 percent of the Filipinos polled did not believe it was right for the proposed Bangsamoro government to have exclusive devolved powers.
The majority of the respondents (62 percent) also rejected the proposal that the Bangsamoro have its own constitutional bodies similar to the Commission on Audit, Commission on Elections and the Ombudsman.
At least 59 percent of the respondents across all geographical areas also believed the creation of the Bangsamoro would go against the Constitution.
Across the country, less than a fifth of the respondents expressed confidence that the passage of the BBL would bring lasting peace in Mindanao, while only 20 percent said the measure would help lessen or even stop the armed encounters between the military and Muslim rebels.
The Standard Poll also looked into the trust ratings of the four major movers of the BBL: presidential peace adviser Teresita Deles, government chief negotiator Miriam Ferrer, MILF chairman Murad Ebrahim, and MILF chief negotiator Mohagher Iqbal.
The survey showed that Iqbal was the most distrusted, with all four of them getting negative net trust ratings: Deles at -27, Ferrer at -34, Murad at -41, and Iqbal at -44.
As an organization, the MILF received negative net trust ratings of -50 percent (12 percent “much” trust, 62 percent “little” trust).
Even in Mindanao, where the MILF has its stronghold, 50 percent of the respondents said they distrusted the group.
The majority of the respondents (59 percent) also said they were skeptical of Malaysia as a third-party broker of the peace talks given its territorial claim to Sabah.
The poll had a sample size of 1,500 with 300 respondents each from the National Capital Region, North/Central Luzon, South Luzon/Bicol, Visayas and Mindanao.
The Standard Poll had error margins of +/- 3 percent for the national result and +/- 6 percent for the regional results.
All regions were represented in the survey.
Laylo, The Standard’s in-house pollster, has 25 years of experience in political polling and strategic research.
The (en)gendered numbers crunch
#WHIPIT: The (en)gendered numbers crunch
In anything that they do, women could show greater strength in numbers. But what if the numbers are oddly against them sometimes?
If recent numbers are to be believed, studies will still show that gender biases continue to exist in certain areas of Philippine society where we thought they had already been quelled. The odds are indeed not in favor of Filipino females, according to a survey conducted by Laylo Research Strategies, which was presented at the Women Beating The Odds forum held last November 2013 and organized by Pantene and Rappler.
http://www.rappler.com/brandrap/whipit/47950-whip-it-engendered-numbers-crunch
BEHIND THE LABELS: AN INFOGRAPHIC
INNOVATIVE AND CREATIVE INFOGRAPHIC OF NCR SURVEY RESULTS
Rappler, in cooperation with Pantene, recently released a study on gender bias conducted by LRS.
Check out the survey results in the interactive infographic.
http://www.thinglink.com/scene/477391970717663233
GENDER ISSUES: BEHIND THE LABELS
INFOGRAPHIC: #WHIPIT: Behind the labels
Rappler, in cooperation with Pantene, recently released a study on gender bias. Men and women in the National Capital Region (NCR) were asked to reveal their attitudes regarding women at home, at work, in politics, and in society in general.
Check out the survey results in the interactive infographic.
http://www.rappler.com/brandrap/whipit/47389-behind-the-labels
New Year, New Challenges, Renewed Strength
New Year, New Challenges, Renewed Strength
[Thanks to Jimmy Paragas for this LRS New Year graphic]
TheLayloReport Christmas Greeting
A BLESSED CHRISTMAS TO EVERYONE! [Thanks to Jimmy Paragas for this LRS Christmas graphic]
#WHIPIT: NCR survey show stereotypes persist
MANILA, Philippines – Despite a narrowing gap between men and women in the Philippines, double standards and gender bias dominate attitudes towards women even in progressive Metro Manila.
Six driven, passionate, empowered women take off from a survey on urban views on women.
It’s still a man’s world out there but women continue to push the glass ceiling.
Bea Cupin, Rappler, Manila. – Rappler.com
A #WHIPIT forum on gender bias discussing an LRS NCR survey commissioned by Rappler and Pantene
At #WHIPIT, a forum on gender bias held Tuesday, November 26, Pantene and Rappler presented the results of an NCR-wide survey on women issues that they commissioned. Female trailblazers from different fields sounded off on the results and voiced out their thoughts on how best to overcome perceived “limitations.”
Three hundred adults from different socioeconomic background were included in the survey, conducted by Laylo Research Strategies Oct 26-31, 2013. Although it painted a fairly liberated view of women, the survey showed certain biases against women.
BY MARIA A. RESSA
…What challenges face the young Filipina today? Are there stereotypes and gender bias frameworks she needs to confront? Is there a glass ceiling?
We want to find answers to these and other questions. This is why Rappler, in cooperation with Pantene, is launching#WHIPIT, a weekly series of stories and conversations we hope will spark a movement to challenge the status quo.
To find out, Rappler commissioned a survey of men and women in the National Capital Region, with the assumption that more progressive views and ways of life happen in urban areas, in the capital and its surrounding areas.
The results showed there’s been some progress since the late 80’s, but we leave it to you to decide whether it’s enough.
http://www.rappler.com/move-ph/44216-whipit-women-who-beat-the-odds
Pinoys worried about PH-China sea dispute
BY PEDRO ‘JUNIE’ LAYLO JR
Posted on 09/22/2012 12:27 PM | Updated 09/22/2012 1:00 PM in Rappler.com
MANILA, Philippines – Amid controversy over the government’s backdoor negotiations with China on Scarborough Shoal, a survey showed majority of Filipinos are worried about the territorial dispute.
An August 7 to 17 survey of 1,500 Filipinos across 77 provinces by Laylo Research Strategies revealed that 7 in 10 or 69% are concerned about the issue, 24% are undecided and 7% do not consider it worth their while.
Among those polled, Visayans expressed the highest level of anxiety with 77% of them articulating their fears.
Both the Philippines and China have been claiming ownership of Scarborough and the dispute started to escalate after the Philippine Navy apprehended several Chinese fishing boats in the shoal in April.
Since then, the Philippines had taken a number of steps to ease the tension, including withdrawing its ships from the area.
On Friday, September 21, President Benigno Aquino III confirmed that the Philippines, through Senator Antonio Trillanes IV, also engaged in backdoor negotiations with China in a bid to resolve the dispute.
However, some quarters raised concern over the move, citing Trillanes’ lack of background on foreign affairs and diplomacy.
Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile has been Trillanes’ loudest critic after the two clashed on the Senate floor on Wednesday, September 19, over the back-channeling and another issue – the division of Camarines Sur province.
Pinoys satisfied
Nevertheless, majority of Filipinos are still satisfied with the way the Aquino administration is dealing with the dispute with China.
The Laylo survey showed that 56% are satisfied, 31% are undecided on the issue, and 14% are dissatisfied.
Among regions, Mindanao expressed the least satisfaction, at 46% of respondents.
Given a list of possible and suggested means to resolve the dispute, about a third (33%) prefer diplomacy over show of force from both parties.
Meanwhile, 20% of Filipinos support the suggestion of lawyer, educator, and environmental policy expert Tony La Viña – that there should be negotiations between the Philippines and China for joint venture on any environment protection or resource use in Scarborough.
Others said that an international court must decide on the dispute (11%); the Philippines must stand its ground in claiming Scarborough (11%); Scarborough must be declared an international marine reserve and disputing nations should preserve it (9%); and the Philippines should ask help from the US to defend its claim (8%).
Many among National Capital Region (42%) and Northern and Central Luzon (41%) residents root for diplomacy. In Mindanao, 16% want an international court to settle the issue, while 14% in Visayas want Scarborough to be declared an international marine reserve. – Rappler.com
Pedro ‘Junie’ Laylo Jr is an independent public opinion pollster and founder of Laylo Research Strategies, a full service polling and strategic research firm.
http://www.rappler.com/nation/12867-pinoys-worried-about-ph-china-sea-dispute
The Standard Poll (April 27-May1, 2016): Vice Presidential Race
It’s a toss up between Marcos, Jr. and Robredo for the vice presidential race.
The Standard Poll Methodology, January to March 2016
Please see attached file to know more about The Standard Poll Methodology…